Ufabet168 gambling are often very profitable if anyone know the techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. We analyzed the particular Rest of the world Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West California had this edge in the sport. Nonetheless My partner and i also came to the realization that there initially were a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This video game provides all the signals of being one of the best games associated with the year, using each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming back again from appearing down major in the 4th fraction to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the action look like this year?

In the event that this game were appearing played in the fairly neutral field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up such as this, that special point can make the distinction between a good push and a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home game titles.

Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since Dec 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points per game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points for every game at home. In case a person failed to do the mathmatical, that means given that their particular last home decline they are yet to averaged beating his or her adversaries simply by about 34 points per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by 13 items per online game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up piled up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already had recent games that has they’ve only scored 36, 3, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still some sort of close video game to phone. Nevertheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not bet at all. There are usually better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge was not so big that they may possibly still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this match, people severe concerning wagering saved money that they can offer better make use of on approaching games.