Sports betting can be very profitable if anyone know the tricks the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great illustration. My spouse and i analyzed typically the Rest of the world California vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Florida had the edge in the video game. Yet , We also came to the realization that there initially were a good deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on that game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This activity possesses all the indications of being one regarding the best games involving the year, with both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming back from being down major in the independence day 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appear like this year?

In the event this match were appearing played on some sort of natural field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROAD games.

These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s games. Plus, the extra bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not look like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that special point will certainly make the big difference between a good push and a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. 먹튀검증 said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home game titles.

Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since January 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points per game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. 7 points every game at home. In case an individual decided not to do the mathmatical, that means considering that his or her last home reduction they already have averaged beating their very own opposing team by about 34 factors per game.

In addition impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by 13 details per sport at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up established during the june 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They also have had recent games in which they are yet to only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still the close activity to phone. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this game and certainly not gamble at all. There are better video games this quick with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe was not so big that they may possibly still win after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that sport, people severe concerning gambling saved money many people can offer better make use of on coming games.